基于动力学模型的钙钛矿光伏组件稳态功率快速预测研究

Rapid prediction of stabilized power output for perovskite PV modules based on kinetic modeling

  • 摘要: 针对钙钛矿光伏组件因亚稳态特性导致的功率测量难题,本文提出一种基于动力学模型的快速预测方法。现行通用测试协议通常要求长时间的光浸润以确保器件达到稳定状态,严重制约了实验室及工业产线的高通量检测效率。为此,本研究选取3种涵盖不同功率演变模式的商用钙钛矿组件,对比分析对数模型与双指数模型在描述和预测功率变化过程中的适用性。结果表明,双指数模型通过引入两个独立的时间常数,能够准确解耦并捕捉由离子迁移和载流子复合引起的复杂动力学特征;基于该模型,仅需约1.5 h的光浸润数据,即可精准外推预测最终的稳态功率输出,预测相对误差严格控制在1%以内。本研究证实了利用数学模型替代全时长光浸润测试的可行性,为建立高效的钙钛矿组件稳定性评估基准提供了坚实的理论依据。

     

    Abstract: To address the power measurement challenges of perovskite photovoltaic (PV) modules arising from their inherent metastability, this study proposes a rapid prediction method based on kinetic modeling. Current testing protocols require extended light soaking to achieve steady-state conditions, severely limiting high-throughput characterization efficiency in both laboratory and industrial settings. Accordingly, three commercial perovskite PV modules exhibiting distinct power stabilization behaviors were selected to evaluate the applicability of logarithmic and bi-exponential models in characterizing power dynamics. The results demonstrate that the bi-exponential model, by incorporating two independent time constants, effectively decouples and captures the complex kinetic processes driven by ion migration and carrier recombination. Critically, this model enables precise extrapolation of the final Stabilized Power Output (SPO) using only approximately 1.5 h of light soaking data, with the relative prediction error maintained below 1%. This work validates the feasibility of replacing full-duration light soaking with kinetic modeling, providing a robust theoretical foundation for establishing efficient stability assessment benchmarks for perovskite modules.

     

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